track record
every composite score is appended with timestamp and source json. last generated: 2026-03-24 17:05 UTC.
We see upside in PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD): target $355 versus current price $101.62.
We see upside in Apple Inc. (AAPL): target $550.24 versus current price $250.12.
We see upside in Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): target $285 versus current price $242.04.
We see upside in NVIDIA (NVDA): 12-month target $210 and probability-weighted intrinsic value $279 versus a Feb. 24, 2026 price of $192.85.
Adobe Inc. (ADBE) carries a composite score of 82 in our current framework.
We see downside risk in Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA): target $13 versus current price $134.20.
We see downside risk in Scorpio Tankers Inc. (STNG): target $42 versus current price $67.42.
We see downside risk in AXT Inc (AXTI): target $15.00 versus current price $46.73.
We see upside in GameStop Corp (GME): target $33.00 versus current price $24.43.
Microsoft represents one of the most extreme valuation disconnects in large-cap technology. We are SHORT with composite 92, as the market prices shares at $395.55 against a DCF fair value of $310—implying 21.6% downside...
We see downside risk in AMAZON COM INC (AMZN): target $205 versus current price $209.53.
We see downside risk in CARVANA CO. (CVNA): target $152 versus current price $300.66.
JPMorgan Chase trades at $283.44, 6.5% above our $265 fair value estimate, with the market pricing peak-cycle profitability as structural. The 15.7% ROE and 31.3% net margin—10-15 percentage points above money-center nor...
Long at $26.58 with 28% upside to $34.00 12-month target, supported by 6% FCF yield and post-COVID normalization, but conviction remains low (composite 68) due to execution risk on $71B Seagen integration and patent...
We maintain a Neutral stance on MercadoLibre (MELI) at its current price of $1,670.00, anticipating only modest upside to our 12-month target of $1,734.00.
Micron Technology trades at $426.13, a 16.0x premium to our DCF-derived fair value of $26.56, requiring investors to believe in 14.2% terminal growth—more than triple sustainable memory industry norms and 255% above our...
| logged | ticker | position | composite | price | target | intrinsic | sub-scores |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | MELI | Neutral | 30 | $1,670.00 | $1,734 | $1,734 | |
| 2026-03-15 | AAPL | Long | 80 | $250.12 | $550.24 | $550.24 | |
| 2026-03-15 | NVDA | Long | 70 | $192.85 | $210 | $279 | |
| 2026-03-15 | MU | Long | 20 | $426.13 | $580.00 | $27 | momentum: 82.0 |
| 2026-03-14 | MSFT | Short | 60 | $395.55 | $320 | $310.00 | |
| 2026-03-14 | PDD | Long | 90 | $101.62 | $355 | $355.28 | |
| 2026-03-14 | PFE | Long | 30 | $26.58 | $34.00 | $32.30 | momentum: 42.0 |
| 2026-03-14 | STNG | Short | 70 | $67.42 | $42 | $35.69 | |
| 2026-03-14 | GME | Long | 60 | $24.43 | $33.00 | $30.00 | |
| 2026-03-14 | JNJ | Long | 80 | $242.04 | $285 | $320.43 | momentum: 72.0 |
| 2026-03-14 | JPM | Neutral | 50 | $283.44 | $285.00 | $265.00 | momentum: 68.0 |
| 2026-03-14 | ADBE | Neutral | 70 | $269.78 | $450-680 | $550 | |
| 2026-03-14 | AMZN | Short | 50 | $209.53 | $205 | $182.49 | |
| 2026-03-14 | AXTI | Short | 60 | $46.73 | $15.00 | $13.10 | |
| 2026-03-14 | BABA | Short | 70 | $134.20 | $13 | $11 | |
| 2026-03-14 | CVNA | Short | 50 | $300.66 | $152 | $152 | momentum: 78.0 |
| 2026-03-14 | AAPL | Long | 60 | $250.12 | $290.00 | $285.00 | momentum: 72.0 |
| 2026-03-14 | NVDA | Short | 80 | $180.25 | $92 | $99.62 |