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what it is
Veeco makes factory tools that lay tiny film layers on chips, displays, solar cells, hard drives, and wireless parts.
how it gets paid
FY2025 revenue ~$664M. Semiconductor process revenue was a record ~$477M (~72% of sales) — the old $290M / 44% split was inconsistent with the same year’s totals.
why growth slowed
FY2025 revenue fell about 7% YoY as data storage and parts of compound semi softened; semiconductor process revenue still hit a record. Ignore contradictory “+201% revenue” scrapes — they were period-mix errors.
what just happened
Q4 2025 revenue ~$165M; GAAP diluted EPS ~$0.02; non-GAAP diluted EPS ~$0.24 per FY2025 results materials.
At a glance
B+ balance sheet — decent shape, but not bulletproof
15/100 earnings predictability — expect surprises
~52x trailing GAAP P/E (≈$30.79 ÷ FY2025 GAAP ~$0.59) — price moves daily
11.0% return on capital — nothing to write home about
$2.00 fy2027 eps est
xvary composite: 52/100 — below average
What they do
Veeco makes factory tools that lay tiny film layers on chips, displays, solar cells, hard drives, and wireless parts.
Veeco sells the machines that lay tiny material layers on chips and displays. Switching costs (the pain of changing vendors) are high because fabs must requalify tools and retrain operators. You do not swap that gear lightly. R&D intensity stays high in this equipment class; geographic mix is global — use the 10-K revenue-by-region tables for exact percentages.
semiconductors
mid-cap
equipment
ai-packaging
capital-goods
How they make money
$664M
annual revenue · their business grew -7.4% last year
Semiconductor process (FY2025)
$477M
record · ~+2% YoY
All other segments (combined)
~$187M
mixed · storage/compound pressure
The products that matter
chip process equipment
Semiconductor Process Equipment
$477M · ~72% of FY2025 revenue
FY2025 semiconductor process revenue hit a record ~$477M (~72% of ~$664M total) while the consolidated top line shrank — advanced packaging/wet processing/ion beam themes per results commentary.
record 2025 revenue
hard-drive tooling
Data Storage Equipment
~$39M · ~6% of FY2025 revenue
Segment revenue fell sharply vs. FY2024 (~$99M → ~$39M in coverage of the FY2025 segment tables — confirm exact lines in the 10-K). That is a real drag even while semiconductor process revenue grew to a record.
legacy drag
Key numbers
$664M
annual revenue
That is 2025 sales after a 7.4% drop. It tells you the base is still large enough to matter.
41.0%
gross margin
Press materials and income statements round near low-40s% for FY2025 — reconcile to the filed 10-K gross profit line, not a third-party scrape.
5.4%
operating margin
Order of magnitude only — tie operating income to the FY2025 income statement (GAAP), not mixed non-GAAP adjustments.
—
long-term debt (10-K)
Prior scrape showed ~$226M / ~11% of capital — re-key from the FY2025 balance sheet before treating as P0.
Financial health
-
balance sheet grade
B+ — solid but not elite
-
risk rank
3 — safer than 50% of stocks
-
price stability
35 / 100
-
long-term debt
re-key from FY2025 10-K (old ~$226M scrape not re-verified this pass)
-
net profit margin
~5.3% GAAP FY2025 (~$35.4M net income on ~$664.3M revenue per results release)
-
return on equity
recompute from FY2025 net income ÷ average equity (10-K)
P0: Veeco Q4/FY2025 results — https://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/veeco-reports-fourth-quarter-and-fiscal-year-2025-financial-results-2026-02-25 · mirror: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/veeco-reports-fourth-quarter-fiscal-210500142.html · SEC filings (CIK 103145): https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=103145 · Merger: https://www.veeco.com/company/news/veeco-stockholders-approve-merger-with-axcelis/
Total return vs. market
You invested $10,000 in VECO 3 years ago → it's now worth $14,500.
The index would have given you $14,540.
same period. same starting point. VECO trailed the market by $40.
source: institutional data · total return
What just happened
filed quarter
Q4 2025: ~$165M revenue; GAAP EPS ~$0.02; non-GAAP EPS ~$0.24.
FY2025 revenue ~$664.3M; GAAP net income ~$35.4M; GAAP diluted EPS ~$0.59 (down vs. FY2024). Gross margin ~41% context in results materials — do not mix a random quarterly revenue line with FY revenue.
corporate overhang
Veeco and Axcelis stockholders approved the merger in Feb 2026; closing still needs remaining conditions (including China SAMR clearance per press).
-
the completion of the merger remains subject to other customary closing conditions.
this includes the final pending regulatory approval from the state administration for market regulation of china. if the deal is approved, the combined business would assume a new name, ticker symbol, and brand following closing. veeco and axcelis continue to expect that the transaction will be completed in the second half of 2026.
-
veeco’s top line is currently under pressure, but should bounce back this year.
-
in 2025, overall revenues decreased 7% because of a drop in sales in the compound semiconductor and data storage markets.
on a more positive note, the company’s advanced packaging business benefited from a jump in wet processing and lithography tool shipments for 3d packaging. management is seeing signs that order activity is picking up, as demand for ai and high-performance computing products continues to grow.
-
veeco recently secured several new orders for its ion beam and wet processing equipment.
-
we believe the top line will rebound to $800 million this year, assuming demand improves.
P0: same as financial health — Nasdaq/Business Wire earnings release Feb 25, 2026; segment detail cross-check 10-K / earnings tables.
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What could go wrong
the risk that matters most is china not approving the axcelis merger.
Axcelis merger does not close
The deal is still waiting on final approval from China's state administration for market regulation. If approval does not arrive, the second-half 2026 closing timeline disappears with it.
That would remove the market's cleanest scale catalyst and force investors back to valuing a $664M standalone equipment company on its own numbers.
Gross margin slips below the 42% area
Management already expects gross margin to move from 43.3% to 42%. That may sound small. On a business running a 10.14% operating margin, small mix changes matter.
If margin compresses further, FY2026 GAAP guidance ($0.83–$1.17 in the results release) gets harder even if revenue hits the $740M–$800M range.
Data storage remains a 30% revenue drag
Data Storage & Other still represents $198M of revenue, and it fell 30% in 2025. That is too large to treat as background noise.
If the legacy business keeps shrinking faster than semiconductor grows, total revenue can miss the $770M–$800M rebound case even with solid orders elsewhere.
If the deal breaks, margins slip, and non-semi lines stay weak, you are left judging a high trailing GAAP multiple (~52x at ~$30.79 on FY2025 $0.59 EPS — recomputed live) against 15/100 earnings predictability.
source: institutional data · regulatory filings · risk analysis
Pay attention to
!
deal risk
china approval on the axcelis merger
This is the last major stated hurdle before a second-half 2026 close. Without it, the main scale story disappears.
cal
calendar
q1 2026 earnings
Estimated May 11, 2026. You want to see whether order momentum actually starts bridging the gap from $664M toward the $770M–$800M target.
#
metric
gross margin near 42%
A move below the guided 42% area would hit a business already operating at a 10.14% margin. That is the number that can quietly ruin the rebound story.
#
trend
semiconductor growth versus data storage decline
Semiconductor process revenue was a record ~$477M (~+2% YoY) while data storage revenue fell toward ~$39M FY2025 — the mix shift is the story, not an “8% vs. 30%” scrape mismatch.
Analyst rankings
earnings predictability
15 / 100
This score is low. In human-speak, analysts do not see VECO as a company with smooth, easy-to-model earnings.
price stability
35 / 100
The stock has not behaved like a steady compounder. You should expect more movement than the business quality alone might suggest.
risk rank
3
A 3 rank means it is safer than many stocks, but not the kind of balance-sheet bunker that lets you ignore execution risk.
source: institutional data
Institutional activity
institutions have been net buying for 3 consecutive quarters — 77 buyers vs. 74 sellers in 4q2025. total institutional holdings: 61.7M shares. net buying for 3 quarters.
source: institutional data · 2q2025-4q2025
source: institutional data
Price targets
3-5 year target range
$14
$41
$28
target midpoint · 9% from current · 3-5yr high: $50 (+60% · 13% ann'l return)
source: institutional data · analyst targets
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