Veeco Instruments

FY2025 revenue ~$664M (−7% YoY); semiconductor revenue a record ~$477M (~72% of sales). Q4 revenue ~$165M; GAAP FY EPS ~$0.59; Q4 GAAP EPS ~$0.02 (non-GAAP ~$0.24).

If you own VECO, you own wafer-fab equipment cyclicality plus a pending Axcelis combination (H2 2026 timing; regulatory conditions remain).

veco

technology · semiconductors mid cap updated mar 29, 2026
$30.79
market cap ~$2B · 52-week range $17–$36
xvary composite: 52 / 100 · below average
our overall rating — combines growth, value, risk, and momentum
Start here if you're new
what it is
Veeco makes factory tools that lay tiny film layers on chips, displays, solar cells, hard drives, and wireless parts.
how it gets paid
FY2025 revenue ~$664M. Semiconductor process revenue was a record ~$477M (~72% of sales) — the old $290M / 44% split was inconsistent with the same year’s totals.
why growth slowed
FY2025 revenue fell about 7% YoY as data storage and parts of compound semi softened; semiconductor process revenue still hit a record. Ignore contradictory “+201% revenue” scrapes — they were period-mix errors.
what just happened
Q4 2025 revenue ~$165M; GAAP diluted EPS ~$0.02; non-GAAP diluted EPS ~$0.24 per FY2025 results materials.
At a glance
B+ balance sheet — decent shape, but not bulletproof
15/100 earnings predictability — expect surprises
~52x trailing GAAP P/E (≈$30.79 ÷ FY2025 GAAP ~$0.59) — price moves daily
11.0% return on capital — nothing to write home about
$2.00 fy2027 eps est
xvary composite: 52/100 — below average
What they do
Veeco makes factory tools that lay tiny film layers on chips, displays, solar cells, hard drives, and wireless parts.
Veeco sells the machines that lay tiny material layers on chips and displays. Switching costs (the pain of changing vendors) are high because fabs must requalify tools and retrain operators. You do not swap that gear lightly. R&D intensity stays high in this equipment class; geographic mix is global — use the 10-K revenue-by-region tables for exact percentages.
semiconductors mid-cap equipment ai-packaging capital-goods
How they make money
$664M annual revenue · their business grew -7.4% last year
Semiconductor process (FY2025)
$477M
record · ~+2% YoY
All other segments (combined)
~$187M
mixed · storage/compound pressure
The products that matter
chip process equipment
Semiconductor Process Equipment
$477M · ~72% of FY2025 revenue
FY2025 semiconductor process revenue hit a record ~$477M (~72% of ~$664M total) while the consolidated top line shrank — advanced packaging/wet processing/ion beam themes per results commentary.
record 2025 revenue
hard-drive tooling
Data Storage Equipment
~$39M · ~6% of FY2025 revenue
Segment revenue fell sharply vs. FY2024 (~$99M → ~$39M in coverage of the FY2025 segment tables — confirm exact lines in the 10-K). That is a real drag even while semiconductor process revenue grew to a record.
legacy drag
Key numbers
$664M
annual revenue
That is 2025 sales after a 7.4% drop. It tells you the base is still large enough to matter.
41.0%
gross margin
Press materials and income statements round near low-40s% for FY2025 — reconcile to the filed 10-K gross profit line, not a third-party scrape.
5.4%
operating margin
Order of magnitude only — tie operating income to the FY2025 income statement (GAAP), not mixed non-GAAP adjustments.
long-term debt (10-K)
Prior scrape showed ~$226M / ~11% of capital — re-key from the FY2025 balance sheet before treating as P0.
Financial health
B+
strength
  • balance sheet grade B+ — solid but not elite
  • risk rank 3 — safer than 50% of stocks
  • price stability 35 / 100
  • long-term debt re-key from FY2025 10-K (old ~$226M scrape not re-verified this pass)
  • net profit margin ~5.3% GAAP FY2025 (~$35.4M net income on ~$664.3M revenue per results release)
  • return on equity recompute from FY2025 net income ÷ average equity (10-K)
P0: Veeco Q4/FY2025 results — https://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/veeco-reports-fourth-quarter-and-fiscal-year-2025-financial-results-2026-02-25 · mirror: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/veeco-reports-fourth-quarter-fiscal-210500142.html · SEC filings (CIK 103145): https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=103145 · Merger: https://www.veeco.com/company/news/veeco-stockholders-approve-merger-with-axcelis/
Total return vs. market

You invested $10,000 in VECO 3 years ago → it's now worth $14,500.

The index would have given you $14,540.

source: institutional data · total return
What just happened
filed quarter
Q4 2025: ~$165M revenue; GAAP EPS ~$0.02; non-GAAP EPS ~$0.24.
FY2025 revenue ~$664.3M; GAAP net income ~$35.4M; GAAP diluted EPS ~$0.59 (down vs. FY2024). Gross margin ~41% context in results materials — do not mix a random quarterly revenue line with FY revenue.
$165M
Q4 revenue
$0.59
FY GAAP EPS
$477M
FY semi revenue
corporate overhang
Veeco and Axcelis stockholders approved the merger in Feb 2026; closing still needs remaining conditions (including China SAMR clearance per press).
P0: same as financial health — Nasdaq/Business Wire earnings release Feb 25, 2026; segment detail cross-check 10-K / earnings tables.

Get this snapshot in your inbox

This page, delivered free — plus weekly updates when the numbers change. plain english, no spam.

weekly updates earnings alerts plain english no spam
What could go wrong

the risk that matters most is china not approving the axcelis merger.

med
Axcelis merger does not close
The deal is still waiting on final approval from China's state administration for market regulation. If approval does not arrive, the second-half 2026 closing timeline disappears with it.
That would remove the market's cleanest scale catalyst and force investors back to valuing a $664M standalone equipment company on its own numbers.
med
Gross margin slips below the 42% area
Management already expects gross margin to move from 43.3% to 42%. That may sound small. On a business running a 10.14% operating margin, small mix changes matter.
If margin compresses further, FY2026 GAAP guidance ($0.83–$1.17 in the results release) gets harder even if revenue hits the $740M–$800M range.
med
Data storage remains a 30% revenue drag
Data Storage & Other still represents $198M of revenue, and it fell 30% in 2025. That is too large to treat as background noise.
If the legacy business keeps shrinking faster than semiconductor grows, total revenue can miss the $770M–$800M rebound case even with solid orders elsewhere.
If the deal breaks, margins slip, and non-semi lines stay weak, you are left judging a high trailing GAAP multiple (~52x at ~$30.79 on FY2025 $0.59 EPS — recomputed live) against 15/100 earnings predictability.
source: institutional data · regulatory filings · risk analysis
Pay attention to
deal risk
china approval on the axcelis merger
This is the last major stated hurdle before a second-half 2026 close. Without it, the main scale story disappears.
calendar
q1 2026 earnings
Estimated May 11, 2026. You want to see whether order momentum actually starts bridging the gap from $664M toward the $770M–$800M target.
metric
gross margin near 42%
A move below the guided 42% area would hit a business already operating at a 10.14% margin. That is the number that can quietly ruin the rebound story.
trend
semiconductor growth versus data storage decline
Semiconductor process revenue was a record ~$477M (~+2% YoY) while data storage revenue fell toward ~$39M FY2025 — the mix shift is the story, not an “8% vs. 30%” scrape mismatch.
Analyst rankings
earnings predictability
15 / 100
This score is low. In human-speak, analysts do not see VECO as a company with smooth, easy-to-model earnings.
price stability
35 / 100
The stock has not behaved like a steady compounder. You should expect more movement than the business quality alone might suggest.
risk rank
3
A 3 rank means it is safer than many stocks, but not the kind of balance-sheet bunker that lets you ignore execution risk.
source: institutional data
Institutional activity

institutions have been net buying for 3 consecutive quarters — 77 buyers vs. 74 sellers in 4q2025. total institutional holdings: 61.7M shares. net buying for 3 quarters.

source: institutional data
Price targets
3-5 year target range
$14 $41
$31 current price
$28 target midpoint · 9% from current · 3-5yr high: $50 (+60% · 13% ann'l return)
source: institutional data · analyst targets

Want the deeper analysis?

The full deep dive: dcf model, scenario analysis, competitive moat breakdown, and quarterly tracking — everything on this page, taken further.

see plans from $5/mo
The deep dive
VECO
xvary deep dive
veco
the full analysis is in the works.
what you'll get
dcf valuation model
bull / base / bear scenarios
competitive moat breakdown
quarterly earnings tracker
operating model projections
risk matrix with kill criteria
original price target + conviction
updated with every earnings
free · no spam · you'll be first to read it