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what it is
Urban Outfitters sells apparel and home goods through stores, wholesale, and a fast-growing clothing rental subscription.
how it gets paid
Nine months ended Oct 31, 2025: record net sales $4.36B (+11.5% vs. the same period in FY25).
why it's growing
Revenue grew 7.7% last year. Strength was broad-based, driven by solid comparable sales growth of 8% on the retail side of business.
what just happened
Q3 FY26 diluted EPS was a record $1.28; nine-month diluted EPS $4.01.
At a glance
B++ balance sheet — above average — nothing keeping you up at night
25/100 earnings predictability — expect surprises
Nine-month GAAP EPS $4.01 through Oct 31, 2025—wait for Q4 FY26 for full-year EPS
13.0% return on capital — nothing to write home about
xvary composite: 65/100 — average
What they do
Urban Outfitters sells apparel and home goods through stores, wholesale, and a fast-growing clothing rental subscription.
URBN wins by giving you several ways to spend with the same parent company. In Q3 FY26, retail segment net sales were ~$1.30B of $1.53B company total; Nuuly was ~$144.6M and growing ~49% vs. the prior-year quarter—subscription is still smaller than retail but rising fast.
consumer
mid-cap
specialty-retail
subscription-growth
apparel
How they make money
$4.36B
nine-month net sales FY26 through Oct 31, 2025 · +11.5% vs. prior-year period
Retail segment (9 mo.)
$3.72B
+8.0%
Subscription (Nuuly) (9 mo.)
$0.41B
+53%
Wholesale (9 mo.)
$0.24B
+15.7%
The products that matter
women's apparel and home decor retail
Anthropologie
~$635M Q3 FY26 brand sales
Anthropologie (incl. Terrain) was ~$635M of $1.53B company net sales in Q3 FY26—large, but not “85% of the whole company.”
core
apparel and activewear retail
Free People & FP Movement
~$399M Q3 FY26 brand sales
Free People (incl. FP Movement) printed ~$399M in Q3 FY26 brand sales—another core retail leg alongside Anthropologie and Urban Outfitters.
growth
fashion rental subscription service
Nuuly
sales +49%
Nuuly subscription net sales grew 48.7% in Q3 FY26 and 53.4% for the nine months—fastest-growing disclosed segment line.
fastest grower
Key numbers
49.0%
Nuuly growth
Subscription revenue rose 49%. Recurring revenue means repeat monthly payments, so what: URBN is building a steadier second engine beside stores.
10.2%
operating margin (9 mo.)
Income from operations was $446.9M on $4.36B net sales for the nine months ended Oct 31, 2025 (~10.2%) per the release tables.
$4.01
nine-month EPS
GAAP diluted EPS for the nine months ended Oct 31, 2025 (release tables)—do not treat as a full-year EPS print until Q4 FY26 files.
$87
18-month target
The published target is $87 versus $76.72 today. So what: the base-case upside is about 13%, which keeps this from being an obvious bargain.
Financial health
-
balance sheet grade
B++ — above average financial health
-
risk rank
3 — safer than 50% of stocks
-
price stability
35 / 100
-
net profit margin
7.8% — keeps 8 cents of every dollar in revenue
-
return on equity
13% — $0.13 profit for every $1 investors have put in
B++ — functional but not a standout on the balance sheet.
Total return vs. market
You invested $10,000 in URBN 3 years ago → it's now worth $31,100.
The index would have given you $14,770.
same period. same starting point. URBN beat the market by $16,330.
source: institutional data · total return
What just happened
Q3 FY26 · Nov 25, 2025
Record Q3 net sales $1.53B · diluted EPS $1.28
Source: Urban Outfitters, Inc. release (GlobeNewswire, Nov 25, 2025). Nine-month net sales $4.36B (+11.5%); nine-month diluted EPS $4.01. Q3 gross profit rate 36.8% of net sales.
the number that mattered
Retail comps +8% with Nuuly subscription sales +48.7% in the same quarter shows the diversification story management keeps telling.
-
urban outfitters should see another record-setting year, tariff pressure notwithstanding. (fiscal 2025 ends january 31st.) the lifestyle merchandise retailer had its best october quarter yet, with sales up over 12%, vs. prior year, while share profit soared 16%, both topping forecasts.
-
strength was broad-based, driven by solid comparable sales growth of 8% on the retail side of business.
-
the core urban outfitters (uo) chain led the way, as it continued to turn around, with a remarkable 13% comp advance, followed by healthy gains at anthropologie and free people.
-
sales rose a sharp 49% at the subscription/nuuly (fashion rental) unit, too.
-
despite tariffs weighing some on gross margins, urban still did well.
as for the fourth quarter, urban sees a mid-single-digit comp gain, noting that early holiday trends showed consumers taking longer to purchase, but responding well to seasonal promotions. and though levies likely hurt gross margins in the period, it still expects a 100-basis-point increase for the full year, thanks to mitigation actions.
source: Urban Outfitters, Inc. Q3 FY26 results (Nov 25, 2025) · urbanoutfittersinc.gcs-web.com
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What could go wrong
the #1 risk is tariff-driven gross margin pressure in a business that printed ~8.4% net income margin for the nine months ended Oct 31, 2025.
tariffs and input costs
management already said tariffs weighed on gross margin. when nine-month net margin is ~8.4%, cost inflation does not have to be dramatic to hurt.
this matters across the ~$4.36B nine-month net sales base, where retail still dominates segment mix.
discretionary spending slowdown
customers were already taking longer to purchase and responding to promotions. that's normal retail behavior until it isn't.
a softer consumer hits nearly all of a multi-brand apparel portfolio, and promotions can protect sales while quietly pressuring profit.
nuuly deceleration
the exciting part of the story is Nuuly growing 49% while the whole company grows 7.7%. if that gap narrows fast, the rerating story gets thinner.
you would still own a retailer at 14.5x earnings, but without the same mix-shift argument.
pending wage lawsuit
there is an active wage-practices lawsuit in the background. the disclosure here is thin, which is its own kind of risk.
we are not assigning a dollar impact because the page does not provide one. legal noise matters less than margin pressure unless it escalates.
most of the bear case is simple: on ~$4.36B of nine-month discretionary retail revenue and ~8.4% net margin, small operating misses can move earnings a lot.
source: institutional data · regulatory filings · risk analysis
Pay attention to
!
risk
gross margin under tariff pressure
management already flagged tariffs as a headwind. in a 7.9%-margin business, this is the metric that can sneak up on you.
#
trend
nuuly's growth rate
~49% Q3 subscription growth is why the story feels bigger than a standard retailer—watch whether it stays far above the ~11.5% nine-month company net sales pace.
#
metric
retail comparable sales
the last read was 8% comp growth. if that cools while promotions rise, the earnings quality changes fast.
cal
calendar
q4 guidance versus reality
management pointed to a mid-single-digit comp gain for q4. that next print tells you whether the consumer slowdown talk was temporary or structural.
Analyst rankings
short-term outlook
top 20%
momentum score 2 — analysts expect above-average price performance over the next 12 months. in human-speak: they think URBN can keep working.
risk profile
average
stability score 3 — this sits in the middle of the risk spectrum. safer than a speculative turnaround, less durable than a staple.
chart momentum
average
technical score 3 — the chart is constructive, but not sending some secret message.
earnings predictability
25 / 100
earnings predictability is low. translation: the destination may be fine, but the quarterly ride can get bumpy.
source: institutional data
Institutional activity
191 buyers vs. 215 sellers in 3q2025. total institutional holdings: 70.3M shares.
source: institutional data · 1q2025-3q2025
source: institutional data
Price targets
3-5 year target range
$49
$124
$87
target midpoint · +13% from current · 3-5yr high: $105 (+35% · 8% ann'l return)
source: institutional data · analyst targets
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