Start here if you're new
what it is
SL Green owns and runs office buildings in Manhattan and collects rent from tenants.
how it gets paid
Last year Sl Green Realty made $1.0B in revenue.
why it's growing
Revenue grew 13.2% last year. EDGAR shows latest-quarter revenue of $727M, up 197% vs. prior year.
what just happened
SL Green missed with a -$1.49 last print versus -$0.73 expected.
At a glance
B balance sheet — gets the job done, barely
10/100 earnings predictability — expect surprises
6.8% dividend yield — cash in your pocket every quarter
3.0% return on capital — nothing to write home about
xvary composite: 35/100 — weak
What they do
SL Green owns and runs office buildings in Manhattan and collects rent from tenants.
You are buying 25 Manhattan office buildings, not a generic landlord. Same-site occupancy hit 92.5%, up from 90.0% in 2023, so the floors are fuller than last year. That is the whole game: keep your spaces rented, keep your rent checks coming, and hope the -$1.25 EPS forecast does not get worse.
real-estate
small-cap
reit
manhattan
dividend
How they make money
$1.0B
annual revenue · their business grew +13.2% last year
total revenue
$1.0B
+13.2%
The products that matter
leases manhattan office space
Manhattan Office Leasing
$1.0B revenue · entire business
it's the whole company. This single business produced $1.0B in revenue last year, so your upside and your risk both run through Manhattan office demand.
100% of revenue
Key numbers
6.8%
dividend yield
You get $6.80 a year for every $100 invested, while 2026 earnings are still forecast to be negative.
92.5%
occupancy
This is the fill rate on Manhattan offices. Higher occupancy means more rent checks and less dead space.
$1.25
fy2026 eps
The company is still expected to lose money next year, which makes the dividend look generous and fragile at the same time.
$54
target price
VL's 18-month target sits above the current $45.59 price, so the market is not pricing total despair.
Financial health
-
balance sheet grade
B — adequate — nothing special
-
risk rank
3 — safer than 50% of stocks
-
price stability
30 / 100
-
net profit margin
19.1% — keeps 19 cents of every dollar in revenue
-
return on equity
5% — $0.05 profit for every $1 investors have put in
B — functional but not a standout on the balance sheet.
Total return vs. market
You invested $10,000 in SLG 3 years ago → it's now worth $15,770.
The index would have given you $13,920.
same period. same starting point. SLG beat the market by $1,850.
source: institutional data · total return
What just happened
missed estimates
SL Green missed with a -$1.49 last print versus -$0.73 expected.
EDGAR shows latest-quarter revenue of $727M, up 197% vs. prior year. The consensus snapshot says the quarter still landed well below estimates, so the business is growing while earnings stay ugly.
197%
revenue vs. last year
the number that mattered
Revenue at $727M mattered more than the loss, because sales jumped 197% while profit stayed negative.
-
sl green’s results have been a mixed bag for much of 2025. (the office reit is expected to report december-period financials in late january.) during the first three quarters, revenues advanced 13.5% from the same span in 2024, to a total of $726.6 million.
-
solid rental revenues (+10.6%), investment income (+41.6%), and interest income from real estate loans (a tenfold increase) more than offset a top-line decline in the summit one vanderbilt segment.
however, funds from operations (ffo) dropped from an aggregate of $6.25 per share in the first nine months of 2024, to $4.44 in the comparable 2025 period.
-
rising expenses (+14.8%), most the cost of capital (+26.7%), were the main reason.
-
for full-year 2025, we look for revenues to advance 8%–9% to $960 million, but ffo will likely retreat sharply from last year’s standout figure, falling to $5.80 per share.
-
on the plus side, the company’s operating metrics remain decent.
source: company earnings report, 2026
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What could go wrong
the #1 risk is manhattan office demand staying structurally weaker than pre-remote-work norms.
manhattan office demand
SLG gets 100% of its $1.0B revenue from one business: New York office properties. If leasing demand stays structurally softer, there is no other segment to offset it.
This is a full-income-statement risk. Lower occupancy or weaker rents hit the entire revenue base.
cost of capital staying high
Expenses rose 14.8% and cost of capital climbed 26.7%. For a leveraged real estate model, that matters almost as much as leasing demand.
The damage already showed up in first-nine-month FFO, which fell from $6.25 per share to $4.44 despite revenue growth.
earnings volatility and dividend pressure
Earnings predictability is 10/100, price stability is 30/100, and full-year EPS moved from $0.08 to -$0.85. That is not a smooth payout backdrop.
A 6.8% yield looks attractive until the market starts questioning how durable the cash flow behind it really is.
These risks all hit the same engine: a single $1.0B office portfolio, expected full-year FFO of $5.80 per share, and a yield that only feels safe if cash earnings stabilize.
source: institutional data · regulatory filings · risk analysis
Pay attention to
cal
calendar
late-january earnings release
The next report needs to show whether the revenue resilience in 2025 can translate into cleaner FFO and less earnings noise.
!
risk
cost of capital
Expenses rose 14.8% and cost of capital rose 26.7%. If that stays elevated, office improvement has less room to show up in cash earnings.
#
metric
ffo per share
$6.25 fell to $4.44 in the first nine months. That trend matters more than headline revenue growth for a REIT.
#
trend
manhattan leasing momentum
This is a one-city, one-asset-class story. Any improvement or deterioration in office demand flows straight through the thesis.
Analyst rankings
short-term outlook
bottom 5%
momentum score 5 — the lowest rating. in human-speak, analysts expect this to lag most stocks near term.
risk profile
average
stability score 3 — roughly middle of the road. Not especially safe, not uniquely dangerous.
chart momentum
average
technical score 3 — the chart is not giving you a clean signal either way.
earnings predictability
10 / 100
This is what messy office fundamentals look like in a ranking system. Expect surprises, not smooth quarterly progress.
source: institutional data
Institutional activity
institutions have been net buying for 2 consecutive quarters — 164 buyers vs. 155 sellers in 3q2025. total institutional holdings: 63.5M shares. net buying for 2 quarters.
source: institutional data · 1q2025-3q2025
source: institutional data
Price targets
3-5 year target range
$32
$75
$54
target midpoint · +18% from current · 3-5yr high: $100 (+120% · 25% ann'l return)
source: institutional data · analyst targets
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