Quad/Graphics Inc.

Quad lost 9.4% of revenue and still trades at 11.0x earnings.

If you own QUAD, your cash-paying printer business is shrinking.

quad

technology · semiconductors small cap updated jan 9, 2026
$6.38
market cap ~$343M · 52-week range $4–$8
xvary composite: 28 / 100 · weak
our overall rating — combines growth, value, risk, and momentum
Start here if you're new
what it is
Quad helps companies print, mail, and market to customers, then sells the paper and ink behind it.
how it gets paid
Last year Quad/Graphics made $2.4B in revenue. Printing services was the main engine at $1.56B, or 65% of sales.
why growth slowed
Revenue fell 9.4% last year. The single number that matters is $2.4B in annual revenue.
what just happened
Revenue hit $1.8B, but the full-year business still shrank to $2.4B.
At a glance
C+ balance sheet — struggling to keep the lights on
20/100 earnings predictability — expect surprises
11.0x trailing p/e — the market's not buying it — or you found a deal
6.1% dividend yield — cash in your pocket every quarter
4.9% return on capital — nothing to write home about
xvary composite: 28/100 — weak
What they do
Quad helps companies print, mail, and market to customers, then sells the paper and ink behind it.
You are buying a business with $2.4B in annual revenue and 12,200 employees. That scale matters because a small shop cannot match its national footprint. The ugly part is the moat is also a millstone: $489M of long-term debt sits under a 6.1% dividend.
printing small-cap services dividend turnaround
How they make money
$2.4B annual revenue · their business grew -9.4% last year
Printing services
$1.56B
8.0%
Marketing and other services
$0.48B
4.0%
Paper procurement services
$0.24B
12.0%
Ink manufacturing
$0.12B
0.0%
The products that matter
commercial print production
Print & Related Services
$1.9B · 79.2% of revenue
It generated $1.9B last year, but sales fell 9.4%. This still pays the bills, which is exactly why its decline matters so much.
79.2% of revenue
marketing and agency services
MX Solutions
$500M · 20.8% of revenue
This roughly $500M segment was flat while the broader company declined 9.7%. It helps, but it is not yet big enough to change the whole story.
flat growth
targeted mail campaigns
Direct Mail
included in print operations
Management treats direct mail as a priority, but total 2026 sales are still guided down 1–5%. A healthier niche inside a shrinking company is still a shrinking company.
watch volume
Key numbers
$2.4B
revenue
That is the size of the whole business. A 9.4% drop means about $226M vanished from the top line.
6.1%
yield
You get paid to wait. The catch is that the business also lost $226M in annual sales.
8.4%
margin
This is the slice left after operating costs. Thin margins leave little room for volume shocks.
$489M
debt
That debt equals 59% of capital. A slump hits equity holders first.
Financial health
C+
strength
  • balance sheet grade C+ — weak — may struggle to fund operations
  • risk rank 5 — safer than 5% of stocks
  • price stability 10 / 100
  • long-term debt $489M (59% of capital)
C+ — balance sheet grade and long-term debt are flagged. this stock carries more risk than average.
Total return vs. market

Return history isn't available for QUAD right now.

source: institutional data · return history unavailable
What just happened
beat estimates
Revenue hit $1.8B, but the full-year business still shrank to $2.4B.
EPS was $0.32 versus $0.21 a year earlier. Revenue rose 204% in the quarter, while the annual number still declined 9.4%.
$1.8B
revenue
$0.32
eps
21.6%
gross margin
the number that mattered
The single number that matters is $2.4B in annual revenue, because it says the company is still a $2.4B machine, just a smaller one.
source: company earnings report, 2026

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What could go wrong

the #1 risk is print demand falling faster than MX Solutions can offset it.

med
Structural print decline
Management already guided 2026 net sales down 1–5% after revenue fell 9.7% last year. When the main business is still print, decline is not a side issue. It is the issue.
If the core business keeps shrinking, the pressure lands on revenue, operating leverage, and investor patience at the same time.
med
Cash flow compression
Free cash flow guidance for 2026 is $40M–$60M versus $96M in 2025. That is a sharp drop for a company paying a 6.1% dividend and carrying $489M of long-term debt.
Less cash means less room for debt reduction, less comfort around the payout, and less flexibility to fund the transition.
med
Digital pivot stays too small
MX Solutions was roughly $500M and flat, while Print & Related Services was $1.9B and down 9.4%. The newer business is helping, but not yet changing the company’s direction.
If services do not accelerate, the market will keep valuing QUAD as a melting legacy asset instead of a transition story.
If sales fall another 1–5% and free cash flow slides from $96M to $40M–$60M, the room for dividend support, debt management, and reinvestment gets tighter fast.
source: institutional data · regulatory filings · risk analysis
Pay attention to
earnings
Q1 2026 earnings report
Estimated report date April 28, 2026. You want to see whether sales track inside the guided 1–5% decline range or slip past it.
cash
free cash flow versus the $40M–$60M guide
That range is down from $96M in 2025. If cash tracks near the low end, the 6.1% yield stops looking generous and starts looking demanding.
mix shift
MX Solutions growth versus print decline
MX Solutions was flat at roughly $500M while print fell 9.4%. You need the smaller segment to do more than hold still.
balance sheet
debt load in a shrinking business
Long-term debt sits at $489M, or 59% of capital. That is manageable until the core business deteriorates faster than planned.
Analyst rankings
earnings predictability
20 / 100
In human-speak, analysts do not expect a clean, steady earnings pattern here.
price stability
10 / 100
The stock has been volatile. That fits a company with a weak composite score and a business model in transition.
source: institutional data
Institutional activity

institutional ownership data for QUAD is being compiled.

source: institutional data
Price targets
3-5 year target range
n/a n/a
$6 current price
n/a target midpoint · n/a from current
target data not available

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