Start here if you're new
what it is
Moog makes the control systems that help aircraft, missiles, satellites, and industrial machines move the way they should.
how it gets paid
Last year Moog made $3.9B in revenue. Space and Defense was the main engine at $1.45B, or 29% of sales.
what just happened
Moog's latest quarter showed sales jumping to $1.1B, with all four divisions posting record revenue.
At a glance
A balance sheet — strong enough to weather a downturn
85/100 earnings predictability — you can trust these numbers
37.4x trailing p/e — you're paying up for this one
0.4% dividend yield — cash in your pocket every quarter
12.0% return on capital — nothing to write home about
xvary composite: 75/100 — average
What they do
Moog makes the control systems that help aircraft, missiles, satellites, and industrial machines move the way they should.
Moog sits inside systems you do not swap casually. Its motion controls run across military aircraft, commercial aircraft, industrial equipment, and space programs, with each segment contributing 23% to 29% of 2025 sales. That spread matters because if one market slows, your whole thesis does not have to.
How they make money
$3.9B
annual revenue
Space and Defense
$1.45B
+31%
Industrial
$1.25B
flat
Military Aircraft
$1.15B
flat
Commercial Aircraft
$1.15B
flat
The products that matter
precision motion and fluid controls
Motion and Fluid Control Systems
$3.9B revenue
it's the whole $3.9B story we have in this snapshot. That scale produced an 8.0% net margin and a 15% return on equity, which tells you the business is profitable but not overflowing with slack.
core
Key numbers
37.4x
trailing p/e
P/E → stock price divided by past earnings → so what: the market already expects a lot from a company with 7.0% projected earnings growth.
38%
government sales
That is the share of 2025 revenue tied to the U.S. government, which makes one customer matter more than you would like.
15.0%
operating margin
Operating margin → profit before interest and taxes as a share of sales → so what: Moog has a solid business, but not one with huge error bars.
$11.50
fy2027 eps
That is the fiscal 2027 earnings estimate from the primary source, and it is the number your valuation case leans on.
Financial health
A
strength
- balance sheet grade A — very strong financial position
- risk rank 3 — safer than 50% of stocks
- price stability 70 / 100
- long-term debt $1.1B (9% of capital)
- net profit margin 8.5% — keeps 8 cents of every dollar in revenue
- return on equity 15% — $0.15 profit for every $1 investors have put in
A — among the top-rated companies for balance sheet quality.
Total return vs. market
You invested $10,000 in MOGA 3 years ago → it's now worth $33,160.
The index would have given you $13,880.
source: institutional data · total return
What just happened
beat estimates
Moog's latest quarter showed sales jumping to $1.1B, with all four divisions posting record revenue.
Quarterly sales rose 21% to $1.1 billion at the start of fiscal 2026. The biggest push came from Space and Defense, where sales increased 31%, helped by missile controls, satellite components, and commercial aftermarket demand.
$1.1B
revenue
$2.63
eps
21%
sales growth
the number that mattered
21% sales growth matters most because it tells you this was not just cost control. Demand showed up across all four divisions.
-
moog inc. is off to a good start in fiscal 2026 (year ends october 3rd).
-
sales in the quarter increased 21% to $1.1 billion.
-
all four divisions achieved record sales paced by the space and defense segment with a 31% gain.
-
in the latest period, demand was healthy for missile controls and satellite components, aftermarket parts on commercial aerospace, and cooling pumps for data centers.
-
margins expanded due to higher volume, a favorable sales mix, and better efficiency.
source: company earnings report, 2026
Get this snapshot in your inbox
This page, delivered free — plus weekly updates when the numbers change. plain english, no spam.
weekly updates
earnings alerts
plain english
no spam
What could go wrong
the #1 risk is margin compression in a business only earning 8.0% net margins.
med
growth slowdown after a 37.1% jump
Last year's revenue growth was 37.1%. The FY2026 estimate is just $4B versus $3.9B last year. If growth normalizes fast, investors may stop paying 37.4x trailing earnings.
This is a valuation risk disguised as an operating one. When the growth rate drops, the multiple usually notices.
med
cost pressure on a thin margin base
An 8.0% net margin is profitable, but not roomy. Higher input costs, execution issues, or program overruns do not need to be dramatic to matter here.
A smaller profit cushion means even modest cost pressure can hit earnings faster than you expect.
med
premium valuation with limited yield support
At $324.63, the stock yields just 0.4%. You're relying on future earnings growth, not cash returned today, to justify the price.
If sentiment cools, there is not much dividend income here to offset a rerating.
med
execution has to stay clean
The stock sits near the top of its $144–$337 52-week range and analysts expect $10.25 in FY2026 EPS, then $11.50 in FY2027. That setup gives management less room for a miss.
When expectations are already elevated, meeting them is not enough for long. You need follow-through.
combined, these risks point back to the same issue: an 8.0% margin business trading at 37.4x earnings needs growth and execution to stay unusually tidy.
source: institutional data · regulatory filings · risk analysis
Pay attention to
earnings
next earnings in april
watch whether quarterly results keep supporting the leap from $10.25 FY2026 EPS toward $11.50 in FY2027.
metric
net margin
8.0% is good, not forgiving. If costs rise, this is where you will see the stress first.
trend
growth normalization
The jump from $3.9B revenue and 37.1% growth to a $4B FY2026 estimate is the key trend break to monitor.
risk
multiple discipline
At 37.4x trailing earnings, the stock does not have much patience for a messy quarter.
Analyst rankings
short-term outlook
top 20%
momentum score 2 — analysts expect above-average price performance in the year ahead. in human-speak, they still think the stock has some runway.
risk profile
average
stability score 3 — this sits in the middle of the pack. Not a bunker stock, not chaos either.
chart momentum
below average
technical score 4 — price action has cooled even though the business numbers remain decent.
earnings predictability
85 / 100
management's earnings pattern has been consistent. You usually do not get wild surprises here.
source: institutional data
Institutional activity
185 buyers vs. 162 sellers in 3q2025. total institutional holdings: 27.6M shares.
source: institutional data
Price targets
3-5 year target range
$245
$490
$325
current price
$368
target midpoint · +13% from current · 3-5yr high: $500 (+55% · 12% ann'l return)
Want the deeper analysis?
The full deep dive: dcf model, scenario analysis, competitive moat breakdown, and quarterly tracking — everything on this page, taken further.
see plans from $5/moThe deep dive