M Company

3M earns 35.5% on capital, yet the published 18-month target is $144 while the stock sits at $160.

If you own 3M, you own a cleaner industrial story, but not an obviously cheap stock.

mmm

consumer large cap updated jan 2, 2026
$160.00
market cap ~$85B · 52-week range $88–$175
xvary composite: 64 / 100 · average
our overall rating — combines growth, value, risk, and momentum
Start here if you're new
what it is
3M sells the boring stuff your world quietly runs on, from factory gear and electronics materials to home cleaning products.
how it gets paid
Last year M made $24.9B in revenue. Safety and Industrial was the main engine at $11.1B, or 45% of sales.
why it's growing
Revenue grew 1.5% last year. Revenue rose 1.5% over the last 12 months to $24.9 billion.
what just happened
3M posted quarterly EPS of $1.83, just above the $1.82 estimate.
At a glance
A balance sheet — strong enough to weather a downturn
5/100 earnings predictability — expect surprises
19.9x trailing p/e — priced about right
1.9% dividend yield — cash in your pocket every quarter
35.5% return on capital — every dollar works hard here
xvary composite: 64/100 — average
What they do
3M sells the boring stuff your world quietly runs on, from factory gear and electronics materials to home cleaning products.
3M wins because it sits inside thousands of tiny purchasing decisions you barely notice. It spent $1.1 billion on R&D in 2024, or 4.5% of sales, and that keeps its catalog sticky. Return on capital was 35.5%, which means management turns every $1 invested into about $0.36 of operating profit, so what: this is a machine when execution is clean.
consumer large-cap diversified-manufacturer restructuring industrial-tech
How they make money
$24.9B annual revenue · their business grew +1.5% last year
Safety and Industrial
$11.1B
5.0%+
Transportation and Electronics
$8.5B
n/a
Consumer
$5.0B
n/a
Corporate and Other
$0.3B
n/a
The products that matter
industrial and electronics materials
Transportation and Electronics
$8.5B · 34% of revenue
it brings in $8.5B a year, or roughly one-third of the business. if this segment slows, the whole company feels it.
largest segment
household and retail products
Consumer
$5.0B · 20% of revenue
this $5.0B segment is one-fifth of sales. it adds brand exposure, but it is not big enough to carry the growth story by itself.
consumer exposure
remaining reported businesses
other
$11.4B · 46% of revenue
$11.4B of revenue is lumped into "other" in this dataset. that makes one thing clear: you own diversification, but segment-level visibility here is thinner than it should be.
largest bucket
Key numbers
35.5%
return on capital
Return on capital → profit earned on the money used in the business → so what: 3M still runs like an elite operator after years of cleanup.
$11.9B
long debt
Long-term debt → money owed over many years → so what: the load looks manageable because it is 12% of capital and the balance sheet carries an A grade.
19.9x
trailing p/e
P/E → price divided by past 12 months of earnings → so what: you are paying almost 20 years of trailing profit for a company still proving its reset.
28.0%
operating margin
Operating margin → what is left after running the business, before interest and taxes → so what: 3M keeps $28 from every $100 of sales.
Financial health
A
strength
  • balance sheet grade A — very strong financial position
  • risk rank 3 — safer than 50% of stocks
  • price stability 70 / 100
  • long-term debt $11.9B (12% of capital)
  • net profit margin 21.0% — keeps 21 cents of every dollar in revenue
  • return on equity 74% — $0.74 profit for every $1 investors have put in
A with balance sheet grade and net profit margin standing out. your money faces less risk here than at most public companies.
Total return vs. market

You invested $10,000 in MMM 3 years ago → it's now worth $17,590.

The index would have given you $13,920.

source: institutional data · total return
What just happened
beat estimates
3M posted quarterly EPS of $1.83, just above the $1.82 estimate.
Revenue rose 1.5% over the last 12 months to $24.9 billion, and management raised its 2025 outlook with nine months already reported. Safety and Industrial led segment performance at north of 5% growth.
$24.9B
revenue
$1.83
eps
28.0%
gross margin
the number that mattered
The key number was $8.05 in 2025 EPS, up from $7.26 in 2024, because it shows the post-spin-off reset is moving from narrative to math.
source: company earnings report, 2026

Get this snapshot in your inbox

This page, delivered free — plus weekly updates when the numbers change. plain english, no spam.

weekly updates earnings alerts plain english no spam
What could go wrong

the top risk is margin-led optimism outrunning actual revenue growth at 3M.

!
high
institutional selling keeps going
there were 908 institutional sellers versus 824 buyers in 3Q2025. that makes three straight quarters of net selling.
if that becomes four or five quarters, improved fundamentals may not matter much for the stock in the near term.
med
revenue stays stuck near 1.5%
last year's revenue growth was 1.5% on a $24.9B base. the FY2028 revenue target is $30B.
if demand does not accelerate, the market starts treating this as a mature industrial with a cleanup story, not a compounding one.
med
restructuring gains fade after the easy wins
management is guiding to 180–200 basis points of margin expansion after the 2024 healthcare spin-off and job cuts.
if margin gains flatten before revenue picks up, the stock loses the cleanest part of the bull case.
~
low
global exposure adds friction
3M operates across 70+ countries. that helps diversification, but it also means more moving parts across regions, currencies, and supply chains.
with only 1.5% growth, even small operating disruptions can feel bigger than they would in a faster-growing business.
at $24.9B of revenue today, getting to $30B means adding about $5.1B. if that growth does not show up, this becomes a margin story trading at 19.9x earnings.
source: institutional data · regulatory filings · risk analysis
Pay attention to
trend
margin expansion versus sales growth
management guided to 180–200 basis points of margin expansion and 2.5% adjusted sales growth for 2025. if margins deliver but sales do not, you learn what is really holding this stock up.
metric
the gap to $30B revenue
MMM is at $24.9B today. the FY2028 revenue target is $30B. that gap is $5.1B, which is a lot for a company that just grew 1.5%.
risk
a fourth quarter of net institutional selling
3Q2025 showed 908 sellers versus 824 buyers. three straight quarters is a pattern. four starts to look like a verdict.
calendar
next update on segment breadth
management said growth was broad-based, with safety and industrial above 5% and transportation and electronics at 2.4%. the next print needs to show that breadth still exists.
Analyst rankings
earnings predictability
5 / 100
that score is low. in human-speak, the earnings line has earned less trust than the balance sheet has.
risk rank
3
risk rank means overall stock risk. a 3 says safer than the market's messiest names, but not a bunker stock.
price stability
70 / 100
the shares have been steadier than a lot of industrial names. that helps if you want exposure without full cyclicality.
source: institutional data
Institutional activity

institutions have been net selling for 3 consecutive quarters — 824 buyers vs. 908 sellers in 3q2025. total institutional holdings: 0.4B shares. net selling for 3 quarters.

source: institutional data
Price targets
3-5 year target range
$93 $195
$160 current price
$144 target midpoint · 10% from current · 3-5yr high: $200 (+25% · 8% ann'l return)
source: institutional data · analyst targets

Want the deeper analysis?

The full deep dive: dcf model, scenario analysis, competitive moat breakdown, and quarterly tracking — everything on this page, taken further.

see plans from $5/mo
The deep dive
MMM
xvary deep dive
mmm
the full analysis is in the works.
what you'll get
dcf valuation model
bull / base / bear scenarios
competitive moat breakdown
quarterly earnings tracker
operating model projections
risk matrix with kill criteria
original price target + conviction
updated with every earnings
free · no spam · you'll be first to read it