Franco-Nevada

Franco-Nevada runs at an 86.0% operating margin, yet the 18-month target sits at $247 versus today's $251.87.

If you own FNV, you own a gold cash machine priced like the good news already happened.

fnv

materials · royalties large cap updated dec 26, 2025
$251.87
market cap ~$49B · 52-week range $104–$226
xvary composite: 64 / 100 · average
our overall rating — combines growth, value, risk, and momentum
Start here if you're new
what it is
Franco-Nevada finances mines and energy assets, then collects a slice of production without running the operations itself.
how it gets paid
Last year Franco-Nevada made $1.8B in revenue. Gold was the main engine at $1.33B, or 74% of sales.
why it's growing
Revenue grew 63.7% last year. Latest-quarter revenue doubled 100% vs. prior year, and EPS climbed 85% vs. prior year.
what just happened
Franco-Nevada printed $738M in quarterly revenue and $2.37 EPS as gold prices and volume did the heavy lifting.
At a glance
A balance sheet — strong enough to weather a downturn
75/100 earnings predictability — reasonably predictable
47.1x trailing p/e — you're paying up for this one
0.6% dividend yield — cash in your pocket every quarter
22.0% return on capital — every dollar works hard here
xvary composite: 64/100 — average
What they do
Franco-Nevada finances mines and energy assets, then collects a slice of production without running the operations itself.
Franco-Nevada has interests in 400 properties across four continents, and it does not operate the mines. That means you get exposure to metal prices without mine-site labor, diesel, or cost overruns hitting the same way. Streams (contracts to buy future metal at preset prices) and royalties (a cut of sales) are plain English for getting paid first while someone else does the digging.
energy large-cap royalty-streaming gold precious-metals
How they make money
$1.8B annual revenue · their business grew +63.7% last year
Gold
$1.33B
Silver and PGM
$0.24B
Oil and Gas
$0.14B
Iron Ore and Other Mining
$0.09B
The products that matter
royalty and stream contracts
Precious-metal royalty model
$1.8B total revenue
it is the whole reported revenue base on this page, and it converts at a 64.2% net margin. That is why the market treats this more like a financing vehicle than a traditional miner.
86.0% operating margin
future earnings power
Street growth case
$3B fy2028 revenue est
the current model implies revenue reaching $3B by fy2028, about 67% above today’s $1.8B. That growth is part of why investors still accept a premium multiple.
+67% vs. today
capital return
Dividend
0.6% yield
you get some cash back every quarter, but the yield is small. This stock is priced for quality and exposure, not for income.
not the main event
Key numbers
86.0%
operating margin
That is the punchline of the model. Franco-Nevada keeps most of every revenue dollar because it does not run the mines.
$1.8B
annual revenue
Revenue grew 63.7% vs. prior year, which shows how fast cash inflates when gold prices and volume both cooperate.
22.0%
return on capital
Return on capital means profit from money invested. At 22.0%, this company turns deployed cash into earnings better than most miners.
47.1x
trailing p/e
Price-to-earnings means how much you pay for each dollar of profit. At 47.1x, you are paying luxury pricing for a commodity-linked business.
Financial health
A
strength
  • balance sheet grade A — very strong financial position
  • risk rank 2 — safer than 80% of stocks
  • price stability 75 / 100
  • net profit margin 64.2% — keeps 64 cents of every dollar in revenue
  • return on equity 22% — $0.22 profit for every $1 investors have put in
A with balance sheet grade and risk rank standing out. your money faces less risk here than at most public companies.
Total return vs. market

You invested $10,000 in FNV 3 years ago → it's now worth $15,880.

The index would have given you $13,920.

source: institutional data · total return
What just happened
beat estimates
Franco-Nevada printed $738M in quarterly revenue and $2.37 EPS as gold prices and volume did the heavy lifting.
Latest-quarter revenue doubled 100% vs. prior year, and EPS climbed 85% vs. prior year. Gross margin was 72.3%, which is absurdly high for anything tied to digging rocks out of the ground.
$738M
revenue
$2.37
eps
72.3%
gross margin
the number that mattered
Revenue jumped 100% vs. prior year to $738M, which matters because this model turns stronger commodity pricing into oversized profit very fast.
source: company earnings report, 2026

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What could go wrong

the top risk is paying 47.1x trailing earnings for a stock already above its $247 midpoint target.

!
high
valuation has already done a lot of the work
The stock is at $251.87 while the 3–5 year midpoint target is $247. That is a 2% gap in the wrong direction.
If growth merely normalizes, multiple compression becomes the main downside channel.
med
last year’s 63.7% revenue jump sets a hard comparison
Going from $1.8B to much bigger numbers looks great on a chart. Repeating +63.7% growth is the harder part.
If revenue growth cools before earnings estimates catch up, the premium rating looks harder to defend.
med
the page shows quality, but not much diversification detail
You get one revenue line, not a segment split or asset concentration view. That means you are underwriting the model with less visibility than you would want.
Thin disclosure on this page makes it harder to judge how much of the $1.8B revenue base depends on a few assets or metal prices.
At $251.87, you need elite margins, steady production-linked payments, and continued faith in the royalty model. Miss on any of the three, and the valuation does not leave much padding.
source: institutional data · regulatory filings · risk analysis
Pay attention to
valuation
whether earnings growth catches up to the price
At $251.87 and 47.1x trailing earnings, this stock needs results to keep validating the premium.
growth
whether +63.7% revenue growth starts to fade
That jump is impressive. It is also a hard number to lap.
quality
whether margins stay unusually high
A 64.2% net margin and 86.0% operating margin are the whole quality argument. Any slip matters.
ownership
whether institutional buying continues
Three straight quarters of net buying helps the story. A reversal would tell you enthusiasm is cooling.
Analyst rankings
earnings predictability
75 / 100
in human-speak, this is steadier than the average resource stock. You are getting fewer wild swings than the sector stereotype suggests.
risk rank
2
safer than 80% of stocks on this system. That is the part of the business investors keep paying up for.
balance sheet
A
strong finances matter more in commodity-linked businesses because they buy you time when prices or volumes wobble.
valuation setup
47.1x trailing · 35.2x forward
the Street sees earnings improvement, but not enough to make the stock look cheap. You are still paying a quality tax.
source: institutional data
Institutional activity

institutions have been net buying for 3 consecutive quarters — 275 buyers vs. 235 sellers in 3q2025. total institutional holdings: 0.1B shares. net buying for 3 quarters.

source: institutional data
Price targets
3-5 year target range
$170 $323
$252 current price
$247 target midpoint · 2% from current · 3-5yr high: $405 (+90% · 18% ann'l return)
source: institutional data · analyst targets

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