Start here if you're new
what it is
Embraer builds and services commercial jets, executive jets, and defense aircraft.
how it gets paid
Last year Embj made $6.4B in revenue. Commercial Aviation was the main engine at $2.2B, or 34% of sales.
what just happened
Embraer earned $0.46 last quarter, below the $0.58 estimate.
At a glance
B++ balance sheet — above average — nothing keeping you up at night
20/100 earnings predictability — expect surprises
41.3x trailing p/e — you're paying up for this one
0.3% dividend yield — cash in your pocket every quarter
11.0% return on capital — nothing to write home about
xvary composite: 57/100 — below average
What they do
Embraer builds and services commercial jets, executive jets, and defense aircraft.
You do not buy an Embraer jet once and walk away. The company also sells spare parts and support, so 20,750 employees keep earning after delivery. Executive jet deliveries rose 20% to 53, so rich buyers are still paying up.
How they make money
$6.4B
annual revenue
Commercial Aviation
$2.2B
+11.0%
Executive Aviation
$1.6B
+20.0%
Aviation Services
$1.1B
+11.0%
Defense & Security
$0.9B
+11.0%
Other
$0.6B
0.0%
The products that matter
manufactures regional jets
Commercial jets
part of a $6.4B revenue base
This is a core business line, but this snapshot does not break out segment revenue. So you cannot tell from this page alone how much of the profit pool comes from commercial aircraft versus everything else.
core line
builds utility aircraft
Turboprop and agricultural aircraft
company-level margins only
You know this line exists inside the business. You do not get segment economics here. That means you have to judge it through the blended result: 13.0% operating margin and 7.7% net margin.
data thin
supports military programs
Defense aviation
11.0% return on capital
Defense is the line that sounds stabilizing in theory. On this page, all you can verify is the combined output: 11.0% return on capital for the whole company. Useful exposure. Limited disclosure.
stability angle
Key numbers
$6.4B
TTM revenue
That is the size of the whole business. If sales stop climbing, the market notices.
41.3x
trailing p/e
You are paying a premium multiple, so the stock needs clean execution.
21%
upside target
sees room to $86, which is a decent gap from $71.04.
11.0%
sales growth
That is the projected top-line pace, and it has to justify the price.
Financial health
B++
strength
- balance sheet grade B++ — above average financial health
- risk rank 3 — safer than 50% of stocks
- price stability 20 / 100
- long-term debt $2.2B (14% of capital)
- net profit margin 7.7% — keeps 8 cents of every dollar in revenue
- return on equity 12% — $0.12 profit for every $1 investors have put in
B++ — functional but not a standout on the balance sheet.
Total return vs. market
You invested $10,000 in EMBJ 3 years ago → it's now worth $57,880.
The index would have given you $13,880.
source: institutional data · total return
What just happened
missed estimates
Embraer earned $0.46 last quarter, below the $0.58 estimate.
EPS missed by $0.12, or 20.7%. Revenue sits at $6.4B on a trailing basis, and gross margin (profit after direct costs) was 18.0%.
$6.4B
revenue
$0.46
eps
18.0%
gross margin
the number that mattered
$0.46 EPS mattered because it landed 20.7% below the $0.58 estimate.
-
embraer likely had a strong finish to 2025.although fourth-quarter and full-year financial results were not due to be released until march 6th, the company reported solid business activity for the december period.
-
specifically, it delivered 91 aircraft, reflecting a 21% increase compared to the year before.
-
the largest gains came from the executive aviation segment, which saw deliveries up 20%, to 53 jets.
-
for the full year, the companywide tally came in at 244 units, up 18%.
-
overall, we expect embraer to show annual revenue growth of around 17%, to about $7.5 billion, with earnings per american depository share (ads) rising approximately 7%, to $2.05.moreover, earnings and revenue appear likely to maintain their upward trajectory in the current year and into 2027.
source: Yahoo Finance consensus and EDGAR, 2026
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What could go wrong
the main risk here is simple: the stock already trades like the turnaround is cleaner than the numbers still look.
med
valuation has very little patience
41.3x trailing earnings is a rich multiple for a company with a 7.7% net margin. If earnings wobble, investors do not need a crisis to rerate the stock lower. They just need less confidence.
41.3x trailing earnings is a rich multiple for a company with a 7.7% net margin. If earnings wobble, investors do not need a crisis to rerate the stock lower. They just need less confidence.
med
predictability is telling you the ride stays lumpy
A 20/100 earnings predictability score is the market's way of saying this is hard to model cleanly. If you own it, you should expect sharper reactions to quarterly noise than the business quality alone would suggest.
A 20/100 earnings predictability score is the market's way of saying this is hard to model cleanly. If you own it, you should expect sharper reactions to quarterly noise than the business quality alone would suggest.
med
institutional support looks better in headline form than in detail
Three straight quarters of net buying sounds sturdy. The latest quarter being 161 buyers versus 160 sellers sounds less sturdy. If that flips to net selling, the sentiment cushion gets thinner fast.
Three straight quarters of net buying sounds sturdy. The latest quarter being 161 buyers versus 160 sellers sounds less sturdy. If that flips to net selling, the sentiment cushion gets thinner fast.
med
this is still a capital-intensive manufacturer
B++ balance sheet grade and $2.2B in long-term debt say the balance sheet is fine. Fine is not the same as effortless. You are buying an aerospace producer, not a low-capital compounding machine.
B++ balance sheet grade and $2.2B in long-term debt say the balance sheet is fine. Fine is not the same as effortless. You are buying an aerospace producer, not a low-capital compounding machine.
The biggest risk is a valuation slip, not a broken business.
source: institutional data · regulatory filings · risk analysis
Pay attention to
valuation
41.3x earnings needs better proof
The stock does not need perfection. It does need the business to start looking more predictable than 20/100 suggests today.
flow
institutional buying is positive, barely
Three straight quarters of net buying is support. A latest split of 161 buyers versus 160 sellers is support with an asterisk.
volatility
price stability is only 20 / 100
This stock has delivered huge returns and still trades jumpy. If you own it, you are signing up for movement, not smooth compounding.
target path
$86 midpoint versus $71.04 today
The 3–5 year midpoint implies upside. It also tells you analysts are not penciling in another three-year explosion from here.
Analyst rankings
earnings predictability
20 / 100
in human-speak, analysts do not see this as a smooth quarter-to-quarter story.
risk rank
3
Risk rank 3 means the balance sheet and business sit around the middle of the pack on safety — safer than half the market, riskier than the other half.
price stability
20 / 100
This is not a sleepy industrial. The stock can move around a lot even when the long-term story did not change.
source: institutional data
Institutional activity
institutions have been net buying for 3 consecutive quarters — 161 buyers vs. 160 sellers in 3q2025. total institutional holdings: 86.1M shares. net buying for 3 quarters.
source: institutional data
Price targets
3-5 year target range
$52
$119
$71
current price
$86
target midpoint · +21% from current · 3-5yr high: $100 (+40% · 9% ann'l return)
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