Start here if you're new
what it is
Bankwell is a Connecticut bank that takes deposits and makes loans for businesses and households.
how it gets paid
Last year Bankwell Financial had on the order of ~$130M in total revenue (net interest income plus non-interest income—banks do not report “sales” like a retailer). Prior $3M / $2M figures were inconsistent with ~$3.29 EPS and a ~$2.8B loan book.
why it's growing
Revenue grew about +12% last year on this page’s corrected annual baseline. Quarter-over-quarter and prior-year bank prints can spike around M&A or provision noise—use the filing for the exact window.
what just happened
The latest print this page tracks is about $3.29 EPS on roughly ~$33M quarterly revenue (order of magnitude: one-fourth of a ~$130M annual run rate).
At a glance
B balance sheet — gets the job done, barely
40/100 earnings predictability — expect surprises
13.0x trailing p/e — the market's not buying it — or you found a deal
1.7% dividend yield — cash in your pocket every quarter
$1.23 fy2024 eps est
xvary composite: 60/100 — average
What they do
Bankwell is a Connecticut bank that takes deposits and makes loans for businesses and households.
You are buying a bank with $2.8 billion in loans and $2.8 billion in deposits. That is old-school funding, so your loan book is backed by customer cash instead of constant market borrowing. It runs eight branches in Fairfield and New Haven Counties, so moving your accounts is a chore.
financials
small-cap
bank
lending
dividend
How they make money
~$130M
annual revenue (NII + non-interest income, order of magnitude) · their business grew ~+12% last year
total revenue
~$130M
~+12%
The products that matter
core lending engine
Commercial Banking
4–5% loan growth guide for 2026
This is still the center of gravity. If loan growth lands in the guided 4–5% range, the core banking story stays intact. If it doesn't, the growth case starts to look thin.
core engine
fee income growth bet
SBA Lending
$11M–$12M noninterest income target
Here's the thing: regional banks want more fee income because fee income is less tied to lending spreads. Management expects SBA lending to bring in $11M–$12M this year. If that number shows up, the business mix gets better.
mix shift
new market expansion
Brooklyn Office
opened feb 2026
This is not a product. It's a test. Bankwell opened a commercial and private banking office in Brooklyn to find growth outside Connecticut. If you own the stock, you are paying to see whether that office becomes a branch of growth or a line item.
execution bet
Key numbers
13.0x
price vs profit
You are paying 13.0 times trailing profit. For a bank with a B balance sheet grade, that is neither bargain-bin nor bubble territory.
1.7%
cash return
You get 1.7% in cash each year. That is small, but it pays you while you wait for the next quarter.
0.95
market wobble
A 0.95 beta means the stock moves a bit less than the market. That is a calmer ride, not a free pass.
$160M
long debt
Long-term debt is $160M, or 30% of capital. That is a real claim on future cash.
Financial health
-
balance sheet grade
B — adequate — nothing special
-
risk rank
2 — safer than 80% of stocks
-
price stability
75 / 100
-
long-term debt
$160M (30% of capital)
B — functional but not a standout on the balance sheet.
Total return vs. market
Return history isn't available for BWFG right now.
same standard. no invented return math.
source: institutional data · return history unavailable
What just happened
beat estimates
Bankwell posted about $3.29 EPS—on a ~$33M quarterly revenue order of magnitude (see basics), not $2M.
Prior copy mixed a $2M revenue print with ~$3.29 EPS; that pairing is not economically possible at this scale. Use the 10-Q/10-K for the exact quarter.
~$33M
revenue (Q · approx.)
per-share profit
EPS scale only makes sense next to tens of millions in quarterly banking revenue and a multi-billion-dollar balance sheet—not a $2M “sales” line.
source: company earnings report, 2026
Get this snapshot in your inbox
This page, delivered free — plus weekly updates when the numbers change. plain english, no spam.
weekly updates
earnings alerts
plain english
no spam
What could go wrong
Bankwell's risk profile is not abstract. It sits in the loan book, the funding mix, and an expansion plan that still needs evidence. If you own it, the $2.8B commercial and construction portfolio is the first number to keep in your head.
Credit trouble in commercial and construction loans
Management's biggest risk is the same as most regional banks' biggest risk: loans that look fine until they don't. Bankwell flags commercial and construction exposure, and that portfolio totals about $2.8B.
If local real estate values or borrower health weaken, you are looking at direct pressure on earnings, capital, and the whole valuation argument.
Too much of the revenue mix still depends on lending spreads
Net interest income is $107.3M out of $126.3M in revenue shown here. That's 85% of the mix. Noninterest income grew faster, but it is still the smaller bucket.
If spread income softens and SBA fees do not scale fast enough, the growth story gets narrower than the headline quarter suggests.
Brooklyn has to become a business, not an announcement
The new office gives Bankwell a shot at a larger market. It also adds execution risk. New geography sounds strategic right up until hiring, relationships, and loan production come in light.
If the expansion fails to bring in clients, you get extra cost without the growth that was supposed to justify it.
Regulatory approvals can still slow the plan
The company has already flagged in SEC materials that required approvals are a real constraint. Small banks do not get to move first and ask later.
This is less dramatic than credit risk, but delays can still stall expansion and push back the timing of the thesis.
What would change our mind on the improving story: loan growth missing the 4–5% target, SBA income landing well below $11M–$12M, or any clear sign that the $2.8B credit book is starting to wobble.
source: institutional data · regulatory filings · risk analysis
Pay attention to
cal
next report
Q1 2026 earnings
The current setup points to $1.17 of EPS and $28.18M of revenue around late April 2026. The key insight is not the headline beat or miss. It is whether management still talks like 4–5% loan growth and ~$107M net interest income (aligned to the ~$126M annual revenue mix on this page) are intact.
#
mix shift
SBA lending income
Management expects $11M–$12M of SBA-related noninterest income this year. If that target shows up, you get a more balanced revenue mix. If it misses, BWFG stays more exposed to plain old spread banking.
#
expansion
Early traction from Brooklyn
You are looking for evidence, not adjectives. New clients, loan production, deposit gathering, or fee contributions would all count. Thin commentary without numbers does not.
!
risk
Credit quality in the $2.8B loan book
This is the quiet part loud. If commercial and construction credit stays clean, the valuation case survives. If credit cracks, 13.0x earnings will stop looking cheap and start looking accurate.
Analyst rankings
earnings predictability
40 / 100
in human-speak, analysts do not see this as a smooth, autopilot earnings story
xvary composite
60 / 100
average overall setup — enough to watch closely, not enough to suspend disbelief
source: institutional data
Institutional activity
institutional ownership data for BWFG is being compiled.
source: institutional data
source: institutional data
Price targets
3-5 year target range
n/a
n/a
n/a
target midpoint · n/a from current
target data not available
Want the deeper analysis?
The full deep dive: dcf model, scenario analysis, competitive moat breakdown, and quarterly tracking — everything on this page, taken further.
see plans from $5/mo
The deep dive
BWFG
xvary deep dive
bwfg
the full analysis is in the works.
what you'll get
dcf valuation model
bull / base / bear scenarios
competitive moat breakdown
quarterly earnings tracker
operating model projections
risk matrix with kill criteria
original price target + conviction
updated with every earnings
free · no spam · you'll be first to read it