Bud

AB InBev runs a 38.0% operating margin business, yet its stock still trades below an 18-month target of $59.

If you own BUD, you own the world's biggest beer machine with better profits than growth.

bud

consumer large cap updated jan 9, 2026
$64.31
market cap ~$116B · 52-week range $46–$72
xvary composite: 68 / 100 · average
our overall rating — combines growth, value, risk, and momentum
Start here if you're new
what it is
AB InBev sells beer and malt drinks through more than 500 brands across nearly every major market.
how it gets paid
Last year Bud made $59.3B in revenue. Middle Americas was the main engine at $17.0B, or 29% of sales.
why growth slowed
Revenue fell 0.7% last year. The key number was 56.0% gross margin because it shows AB InBev still has pricing power even when sales volumes are softer.
what just happened
Quarterly revenue fell 4%, but EPS still came in at $1.89, showing margin discipline is doing the heavy lifting.
At a glance
A balance sheet — strong enough to weather a downturn
30/100 earnings predictability — expect surprises
20.9x trailing p/e — priced about right
0.2% dividend yield — cash in your pocket every quarter
7.0% return on capital — nothing to write home about
xvary composite: 68/100 — average
What they do
AB InBev sells beer and malt drinks through more than 500 brands across nearly every major market.
Scale is the moat. AB InBev did $59.3B in annual revenue and sells well over 500 brands, which gives it shelf space, distribution reach, and ad muscle smaller brewers cannot match. Operating margin (money left after core costs) was 38.0% versus a 12.8% net profit margin (money left after everything), so you can see how much earning power sits inside the system before interest and taxes take their cut.
consumer large-cap branded-beverages pricing-power global-staples
How they make money
$59.3B annual revenue · their business grew -0.7% last year
North America
$14.5B
Middle Americas
$17.0B
South America
$12.3B
EMEA
$9.0B
Asia Pacific
$6.2B
Global Export & Holding Companies
$0.4B
The products that matter
premium global beer
Stella Artois
premium portfolio · +11.0%
Part of the premium portfolio that grew revenue 11.0% in 2025. That's where you want growth to come from if mainstream beer demand stays soft.
premium mix
global flagship export brand
Corona
premium portfolio · +11.0%
Corona sits inside the same premium bucket that grew 11.0% in 2025. In plain English: management is trying to sell you better beer, not just more beer.
pricing driver
non-alcoholic growth bet
Michelob Ultra Zero
launched 2025 · no. 2 in the U.S.
Launched in 2025, it is already the second-largest non-alcoholic beer brand in the U.S. and the fastest-growing in the category. That's one of the few places where the company is meeting demand shifts head-on.
category shift
Key numbers
38.0%
operating margin
Operating margin means money left after core costs. At 38.0%, AB InBev is still printing cash like a consumer staple with a toll booth.
$72.0B
long-term debt
That debt load is real. It is 38% of capital, which limits how much bad news the stock can shrug off.
20.9x
trailing p/e
Price-to-earnings means what you pay for each dollar of profit. At 20.9x trailing EPS of $3.46, you are paying up for a slow-grower.
7.0%
return on capital
Return on capital means how much profit the business earns on the money tied up inside it. At 7.0%, the machine is efficient, but not magical.
Financial health
A
strength
  • balance sheet grade A — very strong financial position
  • risk rank 2 — safer than 80% of stocks
  • price stability 85 / 100
  • long-term debt $72.0B (38% of capital)
  • net profit margin 12.8% — keeps 13 cents of every dollar in revenue
  • return on equity 8% — $0.08 profit for every $1 investors have put in
A — among the top-rated companies for balance sheet quality.
Total return vs. market

You invested $10,000 in BUD 3 years ago → it's now worth $11,030.

The index would have given you $13,920.

source: institutional data · total return
What just happened
missed estimates
Quarterly revenue fell 4%, but EPS still came in at $1.89, showing margin discipline is doing the heavy lifting.
Latest-quarter revenue was $28.6B, down 4% vs. prior year, while EPS rose 51% vs. prior year. Gross margin was 56.0%, which helps explain how profit grew faster than sales.
$28.6B
revenue
$1.89
eps
56.0%
gross margin
the number that mattered
The key number was 56.0% gross margin because it shows AB InBev still has pricing power even when sales volumes are softer.
source: company earnings report, 2026

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What could go wrong

the top risk is pricing losing the fight against falling beer volumes.

med
Persistent volume decline
Beer volume fell 2.3% for full-year 2025 and 1.5% in Q4. That is not a one-quarter fluke. It is the core demand problem.
Beer still drives $56.3B of the company's $59.3B revenue. If units keep falling, pricing has to work harder every quarter.
med
Input cost pressure
The 2025 20-F flagged inflation across barley, packaging, energy, freight, and logistics. A 38% operating margin looks sturdy until raw materials and shipping start taking bites out of it.
Margin is the whole defense. If costs rise faster than pricing, the valuation stops looking cheap for a slow-growth brewer.
med
Regulation, taxes, and antitrust
The world's largest brewer gets more scrutiny than the average beverage company. That includes antitrust reviews, alcohol regulation, and tax changes across key markets.
These pressures do not have to break the business to matter. They can cap acquisitions, raise compliance costs, and limit how much pricing power reaches your earnings line.
The company can handle debt and still buy back stock, but 95% of revenue still comes from beer. If volume keeps shrinking, the story narrows fast.
source: institutional data · regulatory filings · risk analysis
Pay attention to
earnings
Q1 2026 earnings report
Expected early May 2026. You want to see whether volume declines ease from the 1.5% Q4 pace while management keeps its 4–8% EBITDA growth target intact.
metric
full-year beer volume
The key number is still -2.3%. If that gets worse again, pricing and mix are carrying too much of the thesis.
trend
premium portfolio growth
Stella, Corona, and the rest of the premium mix helped drive 11.0% revenue growth in 2025. That needs to keep outrunning the weakness in mainstream volume.
capital allocation
$6B buyback versus $72.0B debt
Repurchases help EPS. They also tell you management thinks the balance sheet can carry both debt and shareholder returns. If margin slips, that trade-off gets tighter.
Analyst rankings
earnings predictability
30 / 100
Low predictability score. In human-speak: this is a stable business on paper with results that still surprise people.
balance sheet grade
A
High balance sheet rating. In human-speak: debt is large, but the company is not wobbling.
source: institutional data
Institutional activity

192 buyers vs. 259 sellers in 3q2025. total institutional holdings: 0.1B shares.

source: institutional data
Price targets
3-5 year target range
$42 $76
$64 current price
$59 target midpoint · 8% from current · 3-5yr high: $110 (+70% · 16% ann'l return)
source: institutional data · analyst targets

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