Advanced Micro

AMD trades at 55.3x earnings while its latest quarterly revenue grew 36% to $9.2 billion.

If you own AMD, you are betting AI demand stays hot long enough to justify a very expensive stock.

amd

technology · semiconductors large cap updated dec 19, 2025
$221.11
market cap ~$360B · 52-week range $76–$267
xvary composite: 81 / 100 · above average
our overall rating — combines growth, value, risk, and momentum
Start here if you're new
what it is
AMD sells the chips that power PCs, game consoles, servers, and AI systems inside data centers.
how it gets paid
Last year Advanced Micro made $34.6B in revenue.
why it's growing
Revenue grew 34.3% last year. An emerging trend is the substantial increase in demand for general-purpose cpus from hyperscalers to support their growing ai workloads.
what just happened
AMD just put up $9.2 billion in Q3 2025 revenue, up 36% vs. prior year, with data center doing the heavy lifting.
At a glance
A balance sheet — strong enough to weather a downturn
55/100 earnings predictability — expect surprises
55.3x trailing p/e — you're paying up for this one
18.5% return on capital — nothing to write home about
xvary composite: 81/100 — above average
What they do
AMD sells the chips that power PCs, game consoles, servers, and AI systems inside data centers.
AMD wins by being close enough to the performance frontier that big customers refuse to rely on one supplier. If your cloud budget rides on a single chip vendor, that is concentration risk → dependence on one seller → weak bargaining power. AMD spent 25% of 2024 sales on R&D, and its data center segment reached $4.3 billion in Q3 2025, so customers now have a real second source.
semiconductors mega-cap chip-designer ai-demand data-center
How they make money
$34.6B annual revenue · their business grew +34.3% last year
total revenue
$34.6B
+34.3%
The products that matter
server and AI compute
Data Center (EPYC + Instinct)
$4.3B quarterly · the segment carrying the valuation
This is the business the market actually cares about. Data center revenue reached $4.3B in one quarter, and share moved from 3% to 23%. If that keeps compounding, the valuation has something solid to lean on. If it slows, the rest of AMD is not large enough to carry a $360B story by itself.
AI + servers
pc processor franchise
Client (Ryzen CPUs)
part of a $34.6B company · important, but not the headline
The page does not break out client revenue, and that thin disclosure tells you where investor attention sits. This is still a meaningful business. It is just not why the stock trades at $221.11. You own it because steady PC cash flow helps fund the more expensive AI and server push.
cash support
consoles and embedded chips
Gaming + Embedded
cyclical exposure inside the $34.6B revenue base
This part broadens AMD beyond data center, but it also brings the cycle back into view. When consumer demand softens or console timing slips, you feel it here first. Useful support business. Not the reason investors are paying 55.3x earnings.
cycle exposure
Key numbers
25.0%
R&D spend
R&D → product development spending → the price of staying in the race. AMD used 25% of 2024 sales here, which tells you this business must keep shipping better chips to justify its valuation.
1.0%
Debt to capital
Debt to capital → how much of the company is funded by long-term borrowing → balance-sheet strain. At 1%, leverage is not the thing that breaks this story.
18.5%
Return on capital
Return on capital → profit earned on the money put into the business → efficiency test. At 18.5%, AMD is turning investment into real earnings better than an average chip company.
55.3x
Trailing P/E
P/E → stock price compared with yearly profit → how expensive the market thinks the future is. At 55.3x, your upside needs fast earnings growth, not just solid execution.
Financial health
A
strength
  • balance sheet grade A — very strong financial position
  • risk rank 3 — safer than 50% of stocks
  • price stability 20 / 100
  • long-term debt $2.3B (1% of capital)
  • net profit margin 28.0% — keeps 28 cents of every dollar in revenue
  • return on equity 19% — $0.19 profit for every $1 investors have put in
A — among the top-rated companies for balance sheet quality.
Total return vs. market

You invested $10,000 in AMD 3 years ago → it's now worth $31,380.

The index would have given you $13,920.

source: institutional data · total return
What just happened
beat estimates
AMD just put up $9.2 billion in Q3 2025 revenue, up 36% vs. prior year, with data center doing the heavy lifting.
EPS reached $1.36 in Q3 2025, up from $1.09 in Q4 2024 and $0.77 in Q4 2023. The key driver was data center revenue of $4.3 billion, helped by strong demand for Instinct MI350 GPUs.
$9.2B
revenue
$1.36
eps
47.5%
gross margin
the number that mattered
The $4.3 billion data center figure mattered most because it shows AMD is no longer pitching AI upside. It is shipping it.
source: company earnings report, 2026

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What could go wrong

The core risk is specific: AMD can keep improving its chips and still lose share if customers keep building around NVIDIA's software stack. Add a premium valuation on top, and small execution misses start hitting like big ones.

med
CUDA keeps AMD in second place even when hardware improves
NVIDIA sells more than chips. It sells the default software environment. AMD's ROCm progress matters, but the gap is still part of the story on this page. If developers do not move, Instinct adoption stays narrower than the market hopes.
If GPU share gains slow, the business doing $4.3B in quarterly data center revenue loses momentum and 55.3x trailing earnings gets harder to defend.
med
AI infrastructure spending pauses after a huge buildout
AMD needs hyperscalers and model builders to keep ordering aggressively. If those customers slow spending, AMD does not just lose growth. It loses the main reason investors are willing to pay a premium multiple today.
The danger is double compression: softer demand for the $4.3B data center engine and a lower earnings multiple at the same time.
med
China export controls narrow a market AMD would like to sell into
Advanced chip restrictions limit what AMD can ship and to whom. The issue is not paperwork. It is foregone demand in a market large enough to matter for any serious AI chip vendor.
Tighter controls would reduce revenue opportunity and make it harder for AMD to spread development costs across more units.
med
PC and gaming weakness reminds the market this is still not a pure AI stock
The AI narrative dominates, but client and gaming still matter. When consumer demand softens, those businesses drag on results and make the whole company look more cyclical than the premium valuation suggests.
If non-data-center segments weaken while AI growth also cools, investors stop valuing AMD as a clean share-gain story.
AMD is priced for continued progress. If the company loses momentum in the business doing $4.3B in quarterly data center revenue, you would likely see both lower earnings expectations and a multiple reset before the rest of the company can offset it.
source: institutional data · regulatory filings · risk analysis
Pay attention to
biggest catalyst
whether the OpenAI deal becomes visible shipment scale
The page frames this as a multi-year $100B+ opportunity. If revenue starts showing the benefit quickly, the market treats AMD's AI business as durable, not just promising.
next earnings
Q1 2026 earnings — late April 2026
You want to see whether the $4.3B data center run rate is still climbing. That will matter more than almost any scripted headline management gives you.
the metric to track
data center revenue versus total company growth
At $34.6B in annual revenue, AMD is large. At a $360B market cap, it is being judged like its best segment is still accelerating. If data center growth starts looking like the rest of the business, expectations reset.
risk to watch
hyperscaler and model-builder capex commentary
Listen to the biggest AI infrastructure buyers before you listen to the sell-side. If they start sounding more selective, AMD's multiple feels it before AMD's income statement does.
Analyst rankings
short-term outlook
top 5%
outlook rank 1 — the highest rating possible. in human-speak, analysts think AMD has better near-term odds than almost every stock they cover.
risk profile
average
risk rank 3 — middle-of-the-road risk. The balance sheet helps. The valuation does not.
chart momentum
top 20%
momentum rank 2 — strong momentum despite the pullback from $267 to $221. The trend is still better than the recent mood.
earnings predictability
55 / 100
Below-average predictability. Product ramps, AI demand, and customer spending timing make this harder to model than a typical large-cap tech stock.
source: institutional data
Institutional activity

institutions have been net buying for 2 consecutive quarters — 1,493 buyers vs. 994 sellers in 3q2025. total institutional holdings: 1.0B shares. net buying for 2 quarters.

source: institutional data
Price targets
3-5 year target range
$149 $374
$221 current price
$262 target midpoint · +18% from current · 3-5yr high: $430 (+95% · 18% ann'l return)
source: institutional data · analyst targets

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