Start here if you're new
what it is
AMC Networks runs cable channels and AMC+, then sells ads and subscriptions around shows like The Walking Dead and Better Call Saul.
how it gets paid
Last year Amc Networks made $2.3B in revenue. streaming subscriptions was the main engine at $0.70B, or 30% of sales.
why growth slowed
Revenue fell 4.5% last year. As the year closes, these streaming gains, combined with recurring content licensing and international advertising strength, position amc to deliver a solid fourth-quarter comparison against.
what just happened
The clean takeaway is the 70.0% EPS miss, which matters more than any one-quarter revenue spike.
At a glance
C++ balance sheet — some cracks in the foundation
60/100 earnings predictability — reasonably predictable
4.1x trailing p/e — the market's not buying it — or you found a deal
6.0% return on capital — nothing to write home about
$2.10 fy2026 eps est
xvary composite: 33/100 — weak
What they do
AMC Networks runs cable channels and AMC+, then sells ads and subscriptions around shows like The Walking Dead and Better Call Saul.
If your cable package still carries AMC, IFC, WEtv, SundanceTV, or BBC America, AMC Networks gets paid before you even press play. Subscription fees were 60% of 2024 revenue, or about $1.38 billion on $2.3 billion total. Recurring carriage fees (affiliate revenue → payments from cable distributors → steadier cash than ads) give you time to push AMC+ while weaker channels disappear.
consumer
small-cap
media
streaming
cable-decline
How they make money
$2.3B
annual revenue · their business grew -4.5% last year
linear affiliate fees
$0.68B
4.5%
streaming subscriptions
$0.70B
+14.0%
content licensing
$0.18B
4.5%
other revenue
$0.10B
0.0%
The products that matter
operates ad-supported and affiliate-funded tv networks
Domestic Operations
$1.8B · 78% of revenue
this is the main cash engine. it generated $1.8B last year and slipped just 1%, which tells you the legacy bundle is weakening slowly rather than falling apart all at once.
cash engine
direct-to-consumer streaming subscriptions
AMC+
10.4M subscribers
AMC+ had 10.4M subscribers, and streaming revenue grew 14% in Q3 2025. that's the growth pocket. the catch is that subscriber growth only matters if it replaces cable profit, not just cable viewers.
transition bet
international channels and related operations
International & Other
$500M · 22% of revenue
this $500M segment fell 15% last year. that's a far steeper drop than domestic, and it explains a lot of the pressure in the headline revenue line.
problem area
Key numbers
4.0x
forward p/e
Forward P/E → price divided by next year's expected profit → so what: at $8.47 and FY2026 EPS of $2.10, you are paying about 4 times earnings.
$1.9B
long-term debt
That debt is about 5 times the company's roughly $375 million market cap, which means lenders matter more than shareholders when things go wrong.
84%
debt to capital
Debt to capital → how much of the company is financed by borrowing → so what: 84% leaves little room for business mistakes.
70.0%
earnings miss
A 70% miss versus estimates tells you this business is cheap, but it is not predictable.
Financial health
-
balance sheet grade
C++ — below average — limited financial resources
-
risk rank
4 — safer than 20% of stocks
-
price stability
10 / 100
-
long-term debt
$1.9B (84% of capital)
-
net profit margin
5.4% — keeps 5 cents of every dollar in revenue
-
return on equity
9% — $0.09 profit for every $1 investors have put in
C++ — balance sheet grade and long-term debt are flagged. this stock carries more risk than average.
Total return vs. market
You invested $10,000 in AMCX 3 years ago → it's now worth $4,740.
The index would have given you $14,770.
same period. same starting point. AMCX trailed the market by $10,030.
source: institutional data · total return
What just happened
missed estimates
The clean takeaway is the 70.0% EPS miss, which matters more than any one-quarter revenue spike.
Consensus data shows the last reported EPS at -$1.26 versus a $0.66 estimate. EDGAR data separately shows a latest-quarter revenue figure of $1.7 billion and EPS of $2.63, so your first job here is accepting that the reported picture is noisy.
the number that mattered
The 70.0% miss is the point. Cheap stocks stay cheap when investors stop trusting the estimates.
-
linear affiliate and advertising revenues endured continued declines, driven by basic subscriber losses and weaker marketplace pricing.
content licensing timing also contributed to quarter-to-quarter variability, while international subscription revenue was pressured by the non-renewal of a spanish distribution agreement.
-
despite these headwinds, domestic streaming growth accelerated, offsetting some declines, and strategic partnerships with netflix, directv, charter, and amazon expanded reach and engagement.
as the year closes, these streaming gains, combined with recurring content licensing and international advertising strength, position amc to deliver a solid fourth-quarter comparison against prior-year results.
-
the company is set to face continued headwinds in 2026.
-
we expect a mixed performance over the next several quarters.
amc networks will probably continue to be pressured by increased competition, while content costs rise to maintain subscriber engagement. growth in ad-supported and fast (free ad-supported tv) channels will probably be uneven and international expansion may not be as efficient as previously expected.
-
shifts in consumer viewing habits, including continued cord-cutting and preference for niche platforms, may limit upside from traditional and bundled offerings.
though streaming and fast growth should partially offset these headwinds, subscriber gains remain modest, and pricing is fragile.
source: company earnings report, 2026
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What could go wrong
the #1 risk is affiliate-fee and advertising erosion from cord-cutting.
pay-tv decline keeps outrunning streaming
Revenue shrank 8.4% over three years, and last year revenue still fell 4.5%. This is not a one-quarter wobble. It is the core business aging in public.
Most of the $2.3B revenue base still depends on channels and carriage economics tied to the shrinking bundle.
the debt stack leaves little room for a miss
AMCX carries $1.9B in long-term debt, equal to 84% of capital, against a market cap of about $375M. That is a large fixed claim for a business already under pressure.
If earnings weaken again, debt stops being a background fact and becomes the main valuation story.
AMC+ adds audience without replacing profit
AMC+ had 10.4M subscribers, and streaming revenue grew 14% in Q3 2025. That sounds good until you compare it with the profit pool cable used to provide.
If streaming adds users but not margin, you get migration without economic replacement.
international weakness spreads
International & Other is 22% of revenue, but it fell 15% last year versus just 1% for domestic operations. One segment is clearly under more stress than the other.
If that 15% slide keeps running, consolidated revenue keeps looking worse even if domestic trends only erode slowly.
$1.9B in debt sits ahead of an equity worth about $375M, while most of the $2.3B revenue base is still tied to a declining pay-tv model.
source: institutional data · regulatory filings · risk analysis
Pay attention to
cal
event
Q1 2026 earnings report
The announce date is 8 May 2026. Watch AMC+ subscriber trends, domestic revenue resilience, and whether management still sounds confident about the transition pace.
#
metric
2026 free cash flow versus the $200M floor
Management projects at least $200M in free cash flow for 2026 after $272M in 2025. If that floor gives way, the debt conversation gets louder fast.
#
trend
whether streaming growth becomes profit growth
AMC+ had 10.4M subscribers and streaming revenue grew 14% in Q3 2025. You want to see those gains show up in group earnings, not just in subscriber headlines.
!
risk
international revenue after the 15% drop
International & Other is only 22% of revenue, but it did a lot of the damage last year. If that segment stays under pressure, the headline decline keeps looking harsher than domestic trends alone.
Analyst rankings
risk profile
below average
stability score 4. in human-speak, this has been more volatile and less resilient than most stocks.
earnings predictability
60 / 100
reasonably predictable, but not safe. you can model the decline. the hard part is knowing when it stops.
source: institutional data
Institutional activity
institutions have been net buying for 2 consecutive quarters — 86 buyers vs. 66 sellers in 3q2025. total institutional holdings: 32.6M shares. net buying for 2 quarters.
source: institutional data · 1q2025-3q2025
source: institutional data
Price targets
3-5 year target range
$3
$11
$7
target midpoint · 17% from current · 3-5yr high: $15 (+75% · 15% ann'l return)
source: institutional data · analyst targets
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