methodology
how the research is made, what the score is trying to measure, and why the reports are structured the way they are.
source
sec filings, earnings calls, investor decks, and company disclosures.
structure
evidence is routed into repeatable modules so every report has a comparable spine.
stress test
valuations, catalysts, and bear cases are checked against competing narratives.
score
composite is assigned only after the thesis, kill criteria, and asymmetry are explicit.
edit
humans verify, rewrite, and decide what deserves publication.
the report spine
the exact module count can change by company. what stays consistent is the analytical spine, so every xvary deep dive can be compared across time, sectors, and market regimes.
- thesis and variant view
- valuation and scenario work
- risk framework and kill criteria
- financial analysis and capital allocation
- competitive position and market structure
- products, technology, and supply chain
- street expectations and earnings evidence
- signals, history, and management quality
what composite is trying to measure
composite is not a recommendation label. it is our shorthand for how strong the setup looks after the evidence is laid out. higher scores require both a strong thesis and a clear path for the market to be wrong.
- momentum: is the business or stock setup getting stronger or weaker right now?
- financial health: do the balance sheet, margins, and cash flows support the thesis?
- competitive position: is there a real moat, or just a temporary narrative premium?
- stability: how fragile is the setup if one assumption breaks?
- valuation upside: how much modeled upside or downside exists versus current expectations?
the exact recipe can vary slightly by company because bad data, capital intensity, and special situations demand judgment.
why the reports are long
a one-line target is easy to publish and impossible to audit. xvary reports are long because the work needs to show its seams: where the thesis came from, what could break it, how the valuation was built, and where the market story diverges from the evidence.
transparency level
we publish the ingredients, the evidence, and the outputs. we do not publish every internal weight, prompt, or decision heuristic.